It is predicted that the Atlantic hurricane season will be record-breaking with the likelihood of exceeding the 2017 season
It is predicted that the Atlantic hurricane season will be record-breaking with the likelihood of exceeding the 2017 season. The season could be around double the number of the long-term average, according to AccuWeather.
The Atlantic is now warming up, driven by an annual cycle with an average minimum temperature of 50C – a half degree increase over average. This might create an exceptionally active hurricane season this year.
Weather Channel forecaster Tom Kines predicts the season will be the worst in more than a decade. “I would argue that we are going to see five of the 10 most intense hurricanes on record before we see zero,” he said.
Predicting an active season can be difficult because the abnormal events can still occur. The hottest day ever recorded on Earth was in 2015, and in the Atlantic in 2015 is when hurricane-force winds hit for the first time in the year, causing almost 3,000 deaths worldwide. But an updated global weather computer model shows warmer air has flowed over the ocean, thereby weakening the weakening hurricane system.
Even though these predictions appear to be coming true, the storm season is still around a month away and forecasters are still unsure what will happen.
“I just have a feeling it is going to get warmer out there and less likely to dampen down,” Kines said.